STP Update

Good Morning,


Energy Scorecard

  • August – Up 2,936 aMW
  • September – Up 1,238 aMW
  • October – Down 62 aMW
  • November – Down 1,025 aMW
  • December – Up 1,589 aMW

Looks like we get an exciting STP update for the first time in a while.  August got a massive increase with nearly 3,000 MW added to the forecast, while September and December had large boosts as well (1,238 and 1,589 MW respectively).  On the other side of the coin, November took a 1,025 MW cut, while October stayed relatively flat with a 62 MW decrease.


August’s jump will come primarily over the 29th and 30th at 3,000 aMW higher than last week before plummeting to start off September (though still elevated compared to a week ago).  This week’s forecast will remain well ahead of last week’s for all of September, then trade positions in October.  November kept the same overall line, but saw its Y-Intercept drop 900 aMW, while December immediately increased and held that position through the remainder of the forecast.

Year on Year

If August holds true it will finish ahead of each of the previous four years — this is especially true in September as well.  October and November pace behind all four years, and December made up a lot of ground though is pacing ahead of just 2016.