Good Afternoon,
Energy Scorecard
- Jan – Up 160 aMW
- Feb – Up 700 aMW
- Mar – Down 400 aMW
- Apr – Down 600 aMW
Clearly, a shifting of energy into the front to address the cold and out of the back to address what no one yet knows. I don’t see issues with the robust Jan numbers; it’s colder than Siberia out there, but Feb? I’d think what is borrowed would come from Feb, not April, and there may be some regulation being modeled in these forecasts …. or it could be just random noise that will be reversed next week.
Strange that starting on Feb 1 the energy forecast jacks, sounds like drum gate? Equally strange are the cuts (versus last week) beginning on Mar 21 and extending through April 1. That would be after the period where the Coulee reservoir was drafted to 1255, and at that point, the project just passes inflows, or drafts to meet the March flood control. It clearly looks like a piece of river regulation is driving the change.
The other reports will be restored later today (Year on Year and Day of Year) as we add the fiscal year (2017).