STP Update

Good Afternoon,

STP is updated, here’s our take:

Monthly Energy

001 STP Month

  • Jan – up 1000 aMW (one day)
  • Feb – Up 500 aMW – ouch
  • Mar – Unchanged
  • Apr – Up 700 aMW – whimper
  • May – Down 2300 aMW – oh my

Daily Energy

001 STP Daily

Goofy cuts on April 1 have been reversed; May has been crushed. All of the Feb rally is in the front, probably off of the next storm stacked up in days 6-10.

Versus Prior Years

001 STP Year

No surprises here, May is just about normal, off from the previous two years.

Day of Year

001 STP DOY

Spaghetti plot; let’s look at 2016 which was a drum gate year:

001 STP DOY 1

Last year, same week, the RFC dropped in regulation reflecting drum gate work; this year they dropped it in last week, then removed it this week. In – Out, take your pick; it seems it’s currently out.